Did prediction markets do any predicting this midterms?
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Breakout launch
Beat 94% of Show HN launches that day
#6 of 112 on Nov 7
#1 of 2 Crypto & Web3 launches on Show HN on Nov 7. 11.1% of Crypto & Web3 launches (1 of 9) reached 10+ points in the last 7 days. See Crypto & Web3 →
points · traction gained Nov 12, 10:31 UTC → Nov 13, 10:27 UTC
Still tracked: re-read by each daily run while under ~168h old (window closes ~Nov 14, 03:50 UTC).
comments · buzz 0 in latest interval
listed Nov 7, 03:50 UTC
Traction (points) over time
Key statistics
- Traction
- 35points
- Comments
- 20
- Rank in CRPT this week
- #1of 11 HN
- Rank overall this week
- #32of 1,038 HN
- Sector hit rate
- 11.1%1/9 · 7D
- Traction line
- Hit10+ points
- First reading
- 29Nov 7, 13:58 UTC
- Last reading
- 35Nov 13, 10:27 UTC
- Readings
- 7over 151h
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1 of 9 Crypto & Web3 launches on Show HN reached 10+ points over the last 7 days. The weekly brief shows what they did differently, so you can compare Did prediction markets do any predicting this midterms?.
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Top on Nov 7 · 112 Show HN launches that day, by points
- #1Coldframe, a honeypot that poses as a supermarket fridge controller289 points
- #2We compressed a 31B video+audio diffusion model to 14B, 6 steps, INT884 points
- #3Where Were We58 points
- #4JavaScript web apps with WASM layout and GPU rendering in 280 KB46 points
- #5An offline desktop companion to help maintain a healthy blink rhythm40 points
More in Crypto & Web3 · top Show HN launches, last 7 days
- Free real-time order book heatmap for Bitcoin, gold and US 5003 pointsfrozen
- 130M mutations against Solana's consensus parsers, zero crashes3 points0
- I mapped all known crypto scams2 points0
- Nekolikea coin pusher roguelike you rebuild between floors2 points0
- Cryptography Playground, a Rust/Tauri notebook for toy ciphers2 points0
Grades · each graded against other Crypto & Web3 launches from the same source
Momentum
—+0 points
Traction gained in the latest daily interval
Too few peers to grade (8; need 20)
Velocity
A0.73 points/h
Votes per hour since listing (age capped at 48h)
Better than 96% · vs 36 Crypto & Web3 · Show HN launches, last 30 days
Engagement
—5.7 per 10 points
Comments per 10 points
Too few peers to grade (4; need 20)
Staying Power
—1.2×
Votes at last reading ÷ votes at first reading
Too few peers to grade (5; need 20)
Launch-day race · #6 of 112 Show HN launches on 2026-11-07
- #4JavaScript web apps with WASM layout and GPU rendering in 280 KB46 points
- #5An offline desktop companion to help maintain a healthy blink rhythm40 points
- #6Did prediction markets do any predicting this midterms?35 points
- #7Backwords13 points
- #8Logo Deal10 points
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Discussion
Keep going
- #7 of 112 on Nov 7Backwords →
- Case studyHow HackerBooks reached 1,861 points on Show HN with a five-word pitch →
- Case studyHow "Steal My Bitcoin" turned a two-word dare into the #1 Show HN of the week →
- CategoryCrypto & Web3: supply, hit rate, top launches →
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Data as of Nov 13, 2026, 9:22 AM UTC. Sector comes from keyword rules on the title and tagline and can be wrong. How it works